Trump’s Tariff Pause Just Broke Prediction Markets

Polymarket's $225M Iran ceasefire contract just resolved YES. Here's what traders are betting on next — and where the live edge is right now.

Polymarket's $225M Iran ceasefire contract just resolved YES. Here's what traders are betting on next — and where the live edge is right now.

Discover the best Polymarket categories to trade in 2026 with a volume, accuracy & edge breakdown across politics, sports, crypto & macro markets.

Polymarket is officially blocked in Switzerland under the Federal Act on Money Games. Learn why GESPA banned it, what the risks are for Swiss users, and what the law says in 2026.

Polymarket is officially blocklisted in Switzerland and can't be access without a VPN. Follow our step-by-step 2026 guide to set up your wallet, complete KYC, and start trading event contracts.

Polymarket is not banned in the UAE, but it operates in a legal grey area. Here is what UAE residents need to know about gambling laws, VARA, and platform risks in 2026.

Polymarket is fully accessible in the UAE with no VPN needed. Learn how to set up your wallet, complete KYC, and start trading event contracts in 2026.

Polymarket is now federally legal in the U.S. after receiving CFTC approval in 2025. Learn how it returned, which states are pushing back, and what it means for U.S. traders in 2026.

Confused by Polymarket CLOB fees? Discover the exact 2026 Maker/Taker fee schedule by category, learn how to earn rebates, and calculate your trading costs.

Iran nuclear deal odds on Polymarket look mispriced. See how volume, ceasefire markets and Iran war news create asymmetric trading opportunities.

Discover the real numbers behind Polymarket accuracy in 2026. We analyze Brier scores, liquidity thresholds, and whale manipulation to help traders find edge.